MBS Morning: Indecision Setting In

Posted To: MBS CommentaryHeadlines like “Indecision Setting In” have ironically been seen at the start of some days that ended up being big movers, so apologies in advance if that move happens to be toward higher rates today. Still, the overall assessment stands. We’re at a bit of a crossroads. Traders are well-acquainted with the case for higher rates–so much so that one must wonder how much of that case has already been priced in to today’s trading levels. This could also leave bond bears vulnerable to a pain trade (i.e. short squeeze ), but that’s not a sustainable source of momentum. For that, we remain dependent on the usual suspects: covid numbers, econ data, Fed policy, and fiscal policy. If those factors aren’t clearly pushing yields up to test 2021’s highs or back down into the…(read more)Forward this article via email:  Send a copy of this story to someone you know that may want to read it.