The government-related market’s push has intensified efforts to draw up classic FICO comparisons or set up interim rating policies pending more data.

Even though the SAFE Act does not require AI loan officers licensing, other laws, as well as regulators, still look for a person to be responsible.

Under the proposed rule, the definition of a manufactured home would allow upper floor sections to be transported and constructed without a permanent chassis.

Provident Bank says My Mortgage used a $10 million line of credit to fund dozens of ineligible, dilapidated properties and sold them to their own employees.

The changes provide standardized appraisal guidance in advance of a mandatory compliance date to a new reporting format in November this year.

Some national headlines are pointing out that mortgage rates are higher this week. Those are based on weekly survey data which can often be stale compared to daily rate movement. Actual average rates are now in line with last Thursday’s levels of 6.58% for top tier 30yr fixed scenarios. That’s just 0.02% higher than May 29th levels. You’d have to go back another 2 weeks to May 14th to see anything lower. What’s the catch? It’s pretty simple. While we may be near the low end of the 4 week range, that range lies at the highs of 10 month range. It’s also reasonably narrow, running from 6.58 to 6.75%. This week’s resilience is almost entirely due to progress toward peace in the Iran war. If a peace deal becomes official, there’s more room for improvement.  [thirtyyearmortgagerates]

Minimal Deal Drama, But Next Week Could be Different

Various headlines out of Iran pushed back on the notion that a preliminary peace deal was near the finish line this morning. This resulted in modest upward pressure on yields for the first several hours of the day. Then just before 11am, Iran’s foreign minister said the media shouldn’t speculate and that the deal has “never been closer.” Trump subsequently reposted that news. This sent oil prices back toward the day’s lows and helped bonds recover most the ground lost earlier this morning. Volatility was minimal in the bigger picture. We’d expect a much bigger reaction to an official signing–something that could happen in a matter of days or continue to be punted indefinitely.

Econ Data / Events

Consumer Sentiment (Jun)

48.9 vs 46 f’cast, 44.8 prev

Sentiment: 1y Inflation (Jun)

4.6% vs — f’cast, 4.8% prev

Sentiment: 5y Inflation (Jun)

3.4% vs — f’cast, 3.9% prev

U Mich conditions (Jun)

48.4 vs 46.2 f’cast, 45.8 prev

Market Movement Recap

08:43 AM Just a hair weaker overnight. MBS down 2 ticks (.06) and 10yr up 1.3bps at 4.483

10:03 AM Weakest levels. MBS down 6 ticks (.19). 10yr up 2.6bps at 4.495

10:48 AM MBS down a quarter point and 10yr up 3.5bps at 4.503

01:00 PM MBS down 2 ticks (.06) and 10yr up 1.4bps at 4.482

Existing-home sales picked up in May, rising to their highest level since December as improving affordability and steady household income gains continued to support demand. Sales increased 3.2% from April to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.17 million , and were also 3.2% higher than a year ago. “More Americans are on the move,” said NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun, noting that sales reached their strongest pace since December. He said improving affordability is helping drive the momentum, adding that mortgage rates remain below last year’s level and are roughly in line with the long-term historical average. Inventory continued to improve in May, though supply remains relatively tight by historical standards. Total housing inventory rose to 1.55 million units , up 3.3% from April and 0.6% from a year earlier, representing a 4.5-month supply of homes. Home prices pushed to a fresh record high in May, underscoring still-solid demand against a backdrop of limited supply. The median existing-home price climbed to $429,300 , up 1.3% from a year ago and marking the 35th consecutive month of annual price gains. Affordability also improved year-over-year, with the Housing Affordability Index rising to 105.6 from 97.5 a year earlier. Yun said income gains are still outpacing home-price growth in most parts of the country, helping keep buyers in the market despite rates ticking up from earlier this year.

Mortgage applications bounced higher last week after the holiday-shortened period, though the increase largely reflected a normalization in activity rather than a meaningful improvement in underlying demand. The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) reported a 10.8% increase in total application volume on a seasonally adjusted basis for the week ending June 5. The gain was led by refinance activity, which rose 15% from the previous week. Refinance demand was also 20% higher than the same period one year ago, showing that activity remains well ahead of last year’s pace despite continued rate volatility. Purchase demand also moved higher. The seasonally adjusted Purchase Index increased 7% week over week and was 4% above year-ago levels. The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate rose to 6.60% from 6.57%, but borrowers still found pockets of opportunity as markets continued to react to developments in the Middle East. MBA’s Mike Fratantoni said mortgage rates were volatile last week, noting that “while the average rate was up slightly,” both refinance and purchase applications rebounded following the holiday week. Fratantoni added that the 30-year fixed rate now stands at 6.60%, while refinance and purchase activity each recovered from the prior week’s holiday-affected pace. Adjustable-rate mortgage activity also edged higher. The ARM index increased 12% over the week, and ARM share rose to 8.6% from 8.5%. Meanwhile, the refinance share of mortgage activity climbed to 40.2% from 38.0%.

Every time I use my credit card at the supermarket it can impact my credit score which were invented in 1958. What might be the credit score of the United States with its $1.78 trillion deficit in 2025? Gas stations and supermarkets are two daily places where we see inflation. Trader Joes, with its 630+ locations, is known for many things, not the least of which is its flowers and their prices. “Shrinkflation” has hit the chain, and anyone who has purchased flowers lately know that the bunches have gone down from, say, 12 flowers to 8. Either raise prices or make portions smaller… Yes, inflation is a problem, and lenders should know that, although the Fed doesn’t set mortgages rates, few, if any, experts predict that the U.S. Federal Reserve will cut rates this year. That would add fuel to the inflationary pressures being created by both another foreign war and a deep-in-the-red federal budget that seemingly no one is concerned about balancing. I remember when the Republicans stood for fiscal restraint, but does anyone in politics care about the flood of newly created U.S. Treasury debt or reducing spending? (Today’s podcast can be found here and this week’s ‘casts are sponsored by JazzX. From application to underwriting to post-close, JazzX is a new operating model that helps you scale growth, boost productivity, and transform how your team performs. Hear an interview with The Disciplined Investor’s Andrew Horowitz on how investors assess what assets to invest in, and a portfolio manager’s perspective on the current economic environment, and risk diversification as it pertains to MBS.)