CPI Proves Frustrating For Fans of Action

The initial reaction to this morning’s CPI data has been mixed with weakness initially and now some resilience.  Treasuries are underperforming, partly due to yield curve steepening (longer-term yields rising relative to shorter-term yields), but also perhaps with an eye on forthcoming supply.  Whether we’re looking at Treasuries or MBS, both are disappointingly close to unchanged levels given the build-up to this data. 

That said, one need not be disappointed by bonds continuing to hold 80% of the rally that’s taken place since October.