Custom Software, UW Tools; FHA, USDA News; Webinars Today and Tomorrow; Mitch Kider Interview

On today’s Mortgage Law Today at 3PM ET, sponsored by Polunsky Beitel Green, LLP, Brian Levy sits down with Mitch Kider to unpack the shifting legal and regulatory landscape facing mortgage lenders, CFPB uncertainty, fair lending risk, GSE policy, enforcement trends, and how AI is beginning to reshape legal strategy heading into 2026. on tomorrow’s Mortgage Matters at 2PM ET (brought to you by Lenders One) is Ethan Winchell, President & Co-Founder of Truework, to discuss the seriousness and technology of verifications. Learning about capital markets is certainly intentional, and MCT’s Exchange 2026 (February 12-13) in San Diego is intentionally focused on market analysis, innovative technology announcements, and collaborative roundtables with industry peers. (Today’s podcast can be found here and this week’s are sponsored by Truework, the one verification solution to replace in-house waterfalls. Verify any borrower with a VOIE solution that automates the entire process to quickly deliver the most accurate and complete reports with broad GSE coverage. Today’s has an interview with American Pride Bank’s Jessica Bluj on One-Time Close construction-to-permanent loans versus traditional multi-close structures.) Products, Services, and Software for Brokers and Lenders Digital tools are transforming how loan officers connect with borrowers, offering a seamless, mobile-first experience. With the Encompass LO Mobile App, a key component of ICE Customer Acquisition, flexibility is at your fingertips. Manage pipelines, update loan details and connect with borrowers anytime, anywhere. Explore how your team can work smarter, stay connected and build stronger borrower relationships with this powerful tool. Learn more here.

Bonds Brace For Greenland Fallout. Japan Not Helping Either

As Trump’s Greenland aspirations continue unabated, measurable fallout is increasing. Part of the strategy is increased tariffs. EU is also planning/threatening retaliatory tariffs as well as suspending talks on the US/EU trade deal. The latest measurable manifestation of this morning’s fallout is the announcement that a Danish pension fund is liquidating its Treasury holdings. While the dollar amount isn’t huge, it speaks to the risk that other EU countries could follow suit.  Granted, this could create problems for those EU funds, but rationality doesn’t always prevail amid geopolitical brinksmanship. In addition to all of the above, debt drama in Japan is playing a supporting role, causing a massive surge in Japanese yields overnight and a bit of sympathy selling in US Treasuries.

10yr Yields Finally Break The Range

10yr Yields Finally Break The Range

Despite an absence of market movers on the calendar, bonds found a reason to move. In fact, 10yr yields staged their first legit breakout from the narrow trading range of the past 4 months.  Whether that has any implications for the future is a debate for technical analysts to have with fundamental traders. There was an extra little jolt of mid-day weakness when Trump suggested Hassett was out of the running for the Fed Chair nomination, but the day’s bond losses would still be better-characterized as gradual and non-event-driven. MBS outperformed yet again for the same old reason (actual and/or anticipated GSE MBS purchases), but nonetheless ended the week at the lows.

Econ Data / Events

Industrial Production (Dec)

0.4% vs 0.1% f’cast, 0.2% prev

Market Movement Recap

10:58 AM Losing ground from flat, opening levels.  MBS down 5 ticks (.16) and 10yr up 4.1bps at 4.215.  

12:48 PM Off the weakest levels in MBS, now down 3 ticks (.09). 10yr near weakest levels, up 4bps at 4.214

02:18 PM Down to new lows. MBS down 5 ticks (.16) and 10yr up 5.6bps at 4.23