Nothing Else Happened After Initial Selling

The typical early close for the bond market is 2pm ET. This is usually reserved for a holiday-adjacent day such as Christmas Eve or the day after Thanksgiving. Good Friday is unique. On years where it DOES NOT coincide with a jobs report, it’s fully closed. Otherwise, it’s open for a partial day, but only until noon ET instead of 2pm. That didn’t leave much time for anything else to happen this morning after the initial bout of moderate selling pressure.  It also discouraged trading volume in general–especially in light of other markets being fully closed. 

Econ Data / Events

Average earnings mm (Mar)

0.2% vs 0.3% f’cast, 0.4% prev

Non Farm Payrolls (Mar)

178K vs 60K f’cast, -92K prev

Participation Rate (Mar)

61.9% vs — f’cast, 62% prev

Unemployment rate mm (Mar)

4.3% vs 4.4% f’cast, 4.4% prev

Market Movement Recap

09:02 AM Weaker after jobs report. MBS down 10 ticks (.31) and 10yr up 4.2bps at 4.349

12:31 PM bonds closed now. Pretty flat all day after initial selling. MBS down a quarter point. and 10yr up 3.4bps at 4.341