20yr Treasury Auction to The Rescue

The day began with a bond market that looked like it might take an opportunity to retrace a small portion of the gains seen in recent days.  Even at its worst, it wasn’t that threatening (i.e. 10yr yields never rose above 3.98%). But any notion of a pull-back was effectively erased at 1pm with the results of the 20yr bond auction. Bids totaled 2.73 times the auction amount–right in line with the 6-auction average and the yield came in 1.3bps lower than expected. A 20yr auction wouldn’t normally be an obvious market mover, but the muted range and dearth of data made the reaction more noticeable. With that, bonds moved back into positive territory on the day and held steady through the 3pm close.

Econ Data / Events

Philly Fed Non-Manufacturing Biz Activity

-22.2 vs -12.3 prev
employment -4.5 vs +9.4 prev
new orders -17.4 vs +0.5 prev
prices 35.8 vs 38.8 prev

Market Movement Recap

10:33 AM Losing some ground after opening stronger.  MBS down 2 ticks (.06) and 10yr up 0.5bps at 3.974

01:52 PM Decent recovery after 20yr auction.  MBS up 1 tick (.03) and 10yr down 1.8bps at 3.952

03:33 PM Just off best levels.  MBS unchanged and 10yr down 1.5bps at 3.955